BY Benjamin ClarkMay 14, 2025
7 months ago
BY 
 | May 14, 2025
7 months ago

National Rally faces uncertainty as Le Pen and Bardella emerge top candidates for French presidency

A recent poll reveals shifting dynamics within France's political landscape as Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella position themselves as leading contenders for the 2027 presidential election.

According to Breitbart, Marine Le Pen and her 28-year-old deputy Jordan Bardella have emerged as frontrunners in recent polling, with 42 and 43 percent of voters, respectively, expressing their desire to see them enter the presidential race.

The French Institute of Public Opinion (Ifop) survey for Le Figaro demonstrates strong support for the National Rally leaders, placing them ahead of establishment candidates, including former prime minister Édouard Philippe at 41 percent, Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau at 35 percent, and former PM Gabriel Attal at 34 percent.

Far-left candidates appear to be losing ground, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon receiving only 14 percent support, trailing behind Raphaël Glucksmann and Communist Party leader Fabien Roussel.

Legal challenges threaten Le Pen's presidential aspirations

A court ruling has created significant uncertainty surrounding Le Pen's candidacy, barring her from holding political office for five years due to alleged misallocation of EU funds.

Public expectation of her participation in the race has dropped dramatically from 74 percent to 53 percent in just two months. Le Pen has launched an appeal against the ruling, maintaining that the judiciary is attempting to obstruct democratic processes.

The timeline for the appeal decision, expected by next summer, could potentially allow Le Pen to enter the race if favorable. However, growing public sentiment suggests the National Rally may need to consider alternative strategies, particularly focusing on Bardella as their standard-bearer.

Ifop's general director Frédéric Dabi offered this assessment of the situation:

Something happened. The lines have moved very significantly: even the RN is becoming a source of uncertainty. Who will wear the colours of Jean-Marie Le Pen's party? There is a doubt that has set in among many French people about Marine Le Pen, even if this feeling is a little less shared in the RN. In any case, Jordan Bardella could appear over the months as the natural candidate of his camp.

Rising star Bardella demonstrates strong electoral potential

Despite his relative youth, Bardella has established himself as a formidable contender for the presidency. Recent polling data suggests he would emerge victorious in various first-round scenarios and prevail in most head-to-head matchups.

Only Mayor Philippe presents a significant challenge, with projections showing an even split in a potential second-round contest.

The increasing prominence of Bardella within the National Rally represents a generational shift in French right-wing politics.

His strong polling numbers indicate growing acceptance among mainstream voters, potentially broadening the party's appeal beyond its traditional base.

French political landscape prepares for post-Macron era

Political analysts are closely monitoring the evolving situation as President Emmanuel Macron approaches the end of his final term.

The emergence of both Le Pen and Bardella as leading candidates suggests a potential rightward shift in French politics, though establishment figures maintain significant support.

Recent developments have highlighted the complex interplay between judicial decisions and political aspirations in French democracy. The situation continues to evolve as various candidates position themselves for the upcoming presidential race.

Future of National Rally leadership takes shape

Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella remain central figures in France's political landscape as the nation prepares for its next presidential election in 2027.

The ongoing legal challenges facing Le Pen have created uncertainty about her candidacy while simultaneously elevating Bardella's profile as a potential standard-bearer for the National Rally party.

The coming months will prove crucial as Le Pen's appeal process unfolds and public opinion continues to shift. Whether led by Le Pen or Bardella, the National Rally appears well-positioned to challenge for the presidency, though significant obstacles and strong competition from establishment candidates remain.

Written by: Benjamin Clark
Benjamin Clark delivers clear, concise reporting on today’s biggest political stories.

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