BY Benjamin ClarkSeptember 2, 2024
5 months ago
BY 
 | September 2, 2024
5 months ago

Poll Shows No Boost For Harris After Convention

According to a recent ABC News/Ipsos poll, Vice President Kamala Harris has not seen a significant increase in support following her formal nomination as the Democratic presidential candidate at the party's national convention.

As reported by Breitbart News, the survey indicates that the race between Harris and former President Donald Trump remains largely unchanged from before the convention.

The poll, conducted from August 23-27, 2024, surveyed 2,496 adults nationwide in English and Spanish. Among all respondents, Harris held a slim lead over Trump, with 50% favoring the Vice President and 46% supporting the former President. Harris's lead expanded slightly to 52-46% when considering only registered likely voters.

Public Satisfaction With Harris-Trump Matchup

Despite the lack of a convention bounce for Harris, the poll revealed an interesting shift in public sentiment regarding the presidential race. Compared to earlier surveys that included President Joe Biden as the presumptive Democratic nominee, voters appear more satisfied with the current Harris-Trump matchup.

The poll found that 53% of respondents were dissatisfied with a Harris-Trump contest, while 45% expressed satisfaction. While still indicating a majority dissatisfaction, these numbers represent a significant improvement from a July poll that showed 71% dissatisfaction when Biden was still in the race.

This change in public perception is attributed to stronger support for Harris within the Democratic Party and among left-leaning independents compared to Biden's previous standing.

Candidate Strengths On Key Issues

The ABC News/Ipsos poll also provided insights into how voters perceive the candidates' strengths on various issues. Trump maintained an advantage in several key areas that often drive voter decisions.

Among all the adults surveyed, Trump was favored in four major areas: the economy, inflation, immigration, and handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict. These topics have been central to Trump's campaign messaging and represent areas where he has consistently polled well.

Harris, on the other hand, held the lead on issues such as race relations, abortion, and healthcare. These subjects align closely with traditional Democratic platform priorities and reflect areas where Harris has focused her campaign efforts.

Tie On Crime And Safety Concerns

Interestingly, the poll revealed a deadlock between Harris and Trump on the issue of crime and safety. This tie suggests that neither candidate has established a clear advantage in addressing public concerns about law enforcement and community security.

The even split on this issue could indicate an opportunity for both campaigns to further refine their messaging and policy proposals related to crime prevention and public safety.

Gary Langer of ABC News noted:

The public by 53-45 percent is more apt to be dissatisfied than satisfied with a Harris-Trump contest. But that compares with 71-28 percent in July, with Biden in the race.

This statement underscores the shift in voter sentiment following Harris's nomination and Biden's departure from the race.

Implications For Campaign Strategies

The poll results offer valuable insights for both the Harris and Trump campaigns as they refine their strategies heading into the final months of the presidential race. With no clear convention bounce for Harris, her team may need to reassess their approach to building momentum and expanding their base of support.

For the Trump campaign, the consistent lead on economic issues and immigration provides a solid foundation for their messaging. However, the former president's team may need to address gaps in public perception on social issues, which is where Harris currently holds an advantage.

Both candidates will likely focus on swing voters and undecided Americans in key battleground states, as the national poll numbers suggest a closely contested race.

The lack of a significant shift in polling numbers following the Democratic National Convention highlights the entrenched nature of voter preferences in this election cycle. It also underscores the challenges both candidates face in attempting to sway public opinion in a highly polarized political environment.

Conclusion

The ABC News/Ipsos poll reveals a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump following the Democratic National Convention. Harris did not receive a substantial boost in support after her nomination, but voters appear more satisfied with the current matchup compared to earlier scenarios involving President Biden. The candidates show strengths in different policy areas, with Trump leading on economic issues and Harris ahead on social concerns.  this closely contested presidential race.

Written by: Benjamin Clark

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