BY Benjamin ClarkAugust 11, 2025
6 months ago
BY 
 | August 11, 2025
6 months ago

Trump’s trade fallout with India escalates

Trade negotiations between the United States and India have hit a brick wall. The collapse of what seemed like a promising deal reveals the tough, no-nonsense approach of the Trump administration when it comes to economic partnerships.

According to Politico, former President Donald Trump pulled the plug on a potential trade agreement with India after deeming their offer to reduce tariffs inadequate. While Trump hinted at progress in mid-July, stating, "We're very close to India," his attention swiftly pivoted to the European Union as India's concessions fell short of expectations.

The core issue lies in India's high tariffs, among the steepest globally, and their reluctance to slash them to levels comparable to other nations. An administration official, speaking anonymously, noted that countries like Indonesia offered deals dropping rates to zero, making India's partial reductions look paltry by comparison.

Trump's Hard Line on Trade Deals

The administration's frustration is palpable, with a source close to Trump emphasizing that the U.S. secured agreements with nations like Japan and South Korea without needing direct leader-to-leader talks. "The president was able to get a number of countries to go to zero, or close to zero in other cases," the source said, highlighting why India's offer was seen as "totally insufficient."

This isn't just about numbers; it's about fairness in global trade. When other nations step up with serious commitments, half-measures from a major player like India signal a lack of resolve, undermining the very principle of reciprocal benefit that should guide these talks.

India, for its part, hoped a direct conversation between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Trump might salvage the deal. Yet, Modi's hesitation to engage, driven by domestic political pressures and a desire to avoid public criticism from Trump, left the negotiations in limbo.

Modi's Reluctance to Engage Directly

Mukesh Aghi, a commentator on U.S.-India relations, shed light on Modi's stance, saying, "He has projected himself, the prime minister, as a strong leader." Aghi added that Modi likely avoided a call to prevent a scenario where he might face public berating and feel compelled to retaliate.

That's a fair concern for any leader guarding their image, but it also stalls progress. If strength means avoiding tough conversations, then the path to a deal becomes a game of political posturing rather than pragmatic compromise.

Meanwhile, the Indian embassy in Washington stayed silent on the matter, offering no comment on the stalled talks. This reticence only deepens the sense of a missed opportunity for both sides to clarify their positions.

Oil Purchases Add Fuel to Tensions

Complicating matters further, Trump's growing irritation with Russia's actions in Ukraine led him to slap an additional 25 percent tariff on India for buying Russian oil. India purchased $52.7 billion worth of it last year, refining some for export to Europe, which has drawn sharp criticism from the administration.

India defends its actions as a matter of energy security, arguing it's being unfairly targeted while other buyers like the EU and Turkey face no such penalties for their Russian energy deals. There's a kernel of truth there, but ignoring the broader geopolitical stakes of funding Russia's war machine through oil purchases sidesteps a critical moral and strategic issue.

This tariff move isn't just a trade jab; it's a signal that the U.S. won't tolerate business as usual when it conflicts with pressing global priorities. India's insistence on neutrality in this context feels like a dodge, especially when American policy is clearly aiming to pressure Moscow through economic means.

A Missed Chance for Economic Partnership

The breakdown of this trade deal is a stark reminder of how quickly goodwill can erode under the weight of mismatched expectations. Both nations had a chance to strengthen ties, but India's cautious tariff cuts and reluctance to engage at the highest level left the door wide open for a U.S. pivot elsewhere.

Trump's focus on results over rhetoric means deals must deliver tangible wins, not just promises. For India, this could be a wake-up call to rethink its approach, balancing domestic pressures with the need for bold moves on the world stage.

Until then, the trade landscape remains a chessboard where every move counts, and hesitation can cost dearly. The U.S.-India relationship still holds potential, but only if both sides are willing to play with the same level of commitment.

Written by: Benjamin Clark
Benjamin Clark delivers clear, concise reporting on today’s biggest political stories.

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